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Después de aparecer típicamente en las páginas sagradas de Baseball Think Factory, las proyecciones ZiPS de Dan Szymborski ahora se han publicado en FanGraphs durante una década. La práctica continúa esta temporada baja. A continuación se muestran las proyecciones para los Miami Marlins.
masas
Primero vamos a eliminar las malas noticias porque ese es el orden en el que estamos haciendo estos anuncios publicitarios. Hay muchas cosas que me gustan de los Miami Marlins, pero la mayoría de esas cosas están en el lado del pitcheo. Los agujeros ofensivos no son tan profundos que las pelotas de béisbol o la radiación electromagnética no puedan escapar. Pero la ofensiva es completamente aburrida dondequiera que mires. La alineación no es buena ni particularmente joven, y como tal, probablemente será difícil lograr que los Marlins sean mucho mejores que la ofensiva número 14 de la Liga Nacional en carreras anotadas, la marca de Miami en 2021.
Aún más preocupante es que los jugadores de mayor rendimiento en su mayoría ya están en su fase de declive. Miguel Rojas, Jesús Aguilar y Jacob Stallings ya están en el lado equivocado de los 30 y no son buenos donde hay mucho espacio para un aterrizaje suave, aunque el guantelete de Stalling debería hacerlo valioso por más tiempo que los otros dos Aguilar. Si bien odiaría impedir que los Marlins inviertan en agentes libres, es difícil imaginar que Avisaíl García realmente hará mucho para mejorar el equipo.
ZiPS no ve el futuro de la alineación con mucho más optimismo que el presente. Jesús Sánchez es el único jugador de posición en el equipo que probablemente tenga al menos 10 WAR restantes en su carrera (casi pierde a Jazz Chisholm Jr.). Es comprensible que la computadora esté muy preocupada por JJ Bleday. Habían pasado tres años desde que rompió tazas en Vanderbilt. Simplemente no ha anotado en las ligas menores hasta ahora y probablemente se haya visto obstaculizado por no jugar en juegos reales en 2020. Ya con 23 años y sin experiencia en las menores superiores, no fue difícil decir que 2021 fue una temporada de todo o nada, y con un OPS de menos de .700 para Double-A Pensacola, no lo hizo. No caigo en el lado bueno Página. Su desempeño en la Liga de Otoño de Arizona fue algo, pero la AFL tampoco es un nivel de competencia excepcionalmente alto en comparación con las High Minors. Bleday no está arruinado, pero ahora necesita cambiar las cosas muy rápido.
lanzadores
Ahora llegamos a por qué ZiPS cree que los Marlins pueden llegar a .500 a pesar de una alineación terrible. Sandy Alcantara es la crema de una competencia impresionante y 2021 fue su espectáculo de presentación. Eliminó ese último boleto por nueve de su tasa de boletos, y ZiPS todavía cree que no está golpeando a tantos bateadores como podría dado su material y los resultados de disciplina en el plato. Su contrato de cinco años y $56 millones fue un robo para los Marlins. No se queje del Ben McDonald Comp; Big Ben es posiblemente uno de los lanzadores más subestimados de la década de 1990, con la opinión general ocasional de que decepcionó. Pero el WAR de 21 en su carrera está por encima de la expectativa promedio para cualquier selección de draft; Fueron las lesiones las que descarrilaron su carrera, no la falta de genialidad.
Del mismo modo, ZiPS espera poca regresión real de Trevor Rogers. A diferencia de muchos candidatos a lanzador aspirante a novato del año, Rogers es en realidad por debajo del promedio su FIP (generalmente es al revés) y el tiempo perdido se debieron a problemas familiares de COVID en lugar de una lesión. Pablo López es otro contendiente cercano al All-Star. Y al final de la rotación, los Marlins tienen una gran cantidad de armas activas de todo tipo, aunque muchos en este grupo tienen una gran preocupación, ya sea una lesión (Sixto Sánchez), comando (Jesús Luzardo), o tal vez solo ZiPS también. loco por un loco debut (Jake Eder). Miami puede armar fácilmente una rotación por encima del promedio con brazos libres. Si la franquicia muestra una sorprendente voluntad de inyectar efectivo esta primavera, la ofensiva es un objetivo mucho mejor.
El bullpen se proyecta como respetable, aunque menos dominante que la rotación. Liderados por Dylan Floro, Richard Bleier y los Tony B, nadie espera ser un terror en la entrada tardía, pero podrán cubrir la mayoría de las señales ocasionales que la ofensiva les lanza. Ojalá los Marlins pudieran ganar juegos de cero a menos uno. Las proyecciones podrían estar subestimando al bullpen simplemente porque la profundidad de la rotación y los diversos temores de lesiones entre los abridores podrían significar que algunas de estas armas vivientes encuentren un hogar en relevo, al menos temporalmente. Para ser honesto, mandé a Luzardo aquí para solucionar sus problemas, pero el equipo no me preguntó.
Los Marlins podrían ser un muy buen equipo si la ofensiva mantiene su carga de trabajo. Desafortunadamente, eso significa que los Marlins probablemente no serán un buen equipo.
Gráfico del estadio de béisbol cortesía de Eephus League. Mapas de profundidad creados a partir de los enumerados aquí.
Bateadores: por defecto
jugador | B | Envejecer | correos | Pensilvania | LEJOS | R | H | 2B | 3B | SRES | carreras impulsadas | cama y desayuno | ENTONCES | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
miguel rojas | R | 33 | ss | 527 | 483 | 56 | 129 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 68 | 11 | 4 |
Jacob Stallings | R | 32 | C | 376 | 336 | 34 | 83 | dieciséis | 1 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
brian anderson | R | 29 | 3B | 427 | 376 | 46 | 95 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 39 | 100 | 5 | 1 |
joe wendel | L | 32 | 3B | 463 | 425 | 60 | 114 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 24 | 91 | 9 | 5 |
Jesús Sánchez | L | 24 | RF | 459 | 417 | 51 | 102 | quince | 3 | 19 | 58 | 34 | 124 | 2 | 2 |
Avisaíl García | R | 31 | RF | 509 | 463 | 59 | 118 | 21 | 1 | 20 | 66 | 32 | 122 | 7 | 4 |
Jesús Aguilar | R | 32 | 1B | 457 | 402 | 48 | 102 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 44 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
levin diaz | L | 25 | 1B | 476 | 442 | 52 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 26 | 108 | 1 | 0 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | L | 24 | 2B | 511 | 464 | 66 | 106 | dieciséis | 6 | 19 | 55 | 38 | 161 | 20 | 8 |
garret cooper | R | 31 | RF | 329 | 291 | 39 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 32 | 87 | 1 | 1 |
jon bertie | R | 32 | 3B | 309 | 268 | 42 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 33 | 70 | 13 | 5 |
Bryson Brigman | R | 27 | ss | 451 | 407 | 43 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 33 | 83 | 7 | 4 |
bryan de la cruz | R | 25 | RF | 539 | 493 | 58 | 133 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 36 | 123 | 3 | 4 |
agarrar cono | L | 24 | RF | 456 | 418 | 46 | 90 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 56 | 32 | 184 | 2 | 1 |
Isán Díaz | L | 26 | 3B | 453 | 401 | 51 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 48 | 121 | 4 | 3 |
nick fortes | R | 25 | C | 389 | 349 | 48 | 79 | quince | 2 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 73 | 4 | 1 |
alex jackson | R | 26 | C | 311 | 276 | 33 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 22 | 123 | 1 | 0 |
JJ Bleday | L | 24 | RF | 444 | 397 | 54 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 105 | 3 | 2 |
monte harrison | R | 26 | FC | 351 | 317 | 39 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 26 | 137 | 20 | 4 |
peyton burdick | R | 25 | FC | 456 | 399 | 48 | 81 | dieciséis | 2 | dieciséis | 42 | 47 | 140 | 5 | 4 |
cazador de polvo | L | 27 | FC | 453 | 421 | 48 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 24 | 130 | 8 | 2 |
Víctor Víctor Mesa | R | 25 | FC | 413 | 384 | 39 | 89 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 78 | 8 | 2 |
Carlos Leblanc | R | 26 | 3B | 449 | 411 | 49 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 34 | 137 | 4 | 2 |
José Devers | L | 22 | ss | 145 | 132 | dieciséis | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
henry payton | R | 25 | C | 374 | 340 | 35 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 128 | 0 | 1 |
Brian Navarreto | R | 27 | C | 224 | 206 | 20 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Deven Marrero | R | 31 | 3B | 313 | 285 | 35 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 90 | 4 | 1 |
luis marta | R | 28 | ss | 276 | 260 | 26 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 71 | 6 | 2 |
Joe pánico | L | 31 | 3B | 360 | 326 | 33 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 28 | 44 | 3 | 1 |
Luis Avilés Jr. | R | 27 | ss | 328 | 301 | 30 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 19 | 97 | 13 | 3 |
troy johnston | L | 25 | 1B | 481 | 440 | 63 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 113 | 3 | 1 |
joe dunand | R | 26 | 3B | 400 | 361 | 37 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 119 | 0 | 0 |
eric gonzalez | R | 30 | 3B | 265 | 250 | 23 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 57 | 3 | 2 |
lorenzo quintana | R | 33 | 1B | 308 | 286 | 32 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | quince | 70 | 2 | 2 |
Santiago Chávez | R | 26 | C | 219 | 203 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Tevin Mitchell | R | 25 | LF | 108 | 96 | 8 | quince | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 1 |
lewis brinson | R | 28 | LF | 438 | 406 | 40 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 25 | 124 | 6 | 2 |
Galli Cribbs Jr. | L | 29 | ss | 232 | 211 | 18 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 88 | 3 | 1 |
Devin Haarston | R | 26 | ss | 346 | 318 | 29 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 119 | 3 | 2 |
Demetrio Sims | R | 26 | ss | 346 | 310 | 32 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 125 | 10 | 5 |
cris china | R | 28 | 1B | 244 | 229 | 23 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 64 | 0 | 1 |
Ray patrick didder | R | 27 | ss | 385 | 342 | 40 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 113 | 13 | 5 |
Tristán Pompeyo | B | 25 | LF | 202 | 181 | 25 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | dieciséis | 18 | sesenta y cinco | 1 | 1 |
brian mueller | L | 26 | FC | 484 | 447 | 51 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 28 | 98 | 24 | 7 |
cobie vance | R | 24 | 3B | 440 | 397 | 45 | 84 | dieciséis | 1 | 4 | 25 | 31 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
justin guita | R | 26 | 2B | 326 | 301 | 27 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 112 | 8 | 2 |
Will Banfield | R | 22 | C | 347 | 322 | 33 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 112 | 1 | 0 |
zack kone | R | 25 | 3B | 258 | 239 | 22 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 3 | quince | 18 | 91 | 3 | 1 |
davis bradshaw | L | 24 | LF | 281 | 262 | 30 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 58 | 4 | 4 |
Lázaro Alonso | L | 27 | 1B | 361 | 319 | 36 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 127 | 1 | 1 |
Riley Mahan | L | 26 | 2B | 382 | 350 | 33 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 23 | 136 | 2 | 2 |
J. D. Orr | L | 25 | LF | 284 | 258 | 21 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 63 | 13 | 7 |
corey vogel | L | 26 | RF | 327 | 298 | 29 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 73 | 11 | 2 |
Jerar Encarnación | R | 24 | RF | 429 | 396 | 41 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 28 | 151 | 5 | 4 |
JD Osborne | R | 26 | 1B | 254 | 234 | 24 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Bateadores – Avanzado
jugador | LICENCIADO EN LETRAS | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | YO ASI | BABÍP | RC/27 | definición | GUERRA | Comp. n.º 1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
miguel rojas | .267 | .321 | .377 | 90 | .110 | .297 | 4.5 | 6 | 2.4 | Edgar Rentería |
Jacob Stallings | .247 | .320 | .363 | 86 | .116 | .306 | 4.2 | 11 | 2.4 | geno petralli |
brian anderson | .253 | .337 | .420 | 105 | .168 | .309 | 5.2 | 0 | 2.0 | meñique higgins |
joe wendel | .268 | .320 | .412 | 98 | .144 | .323 | 4.8 | 2 | 1.7 | jim davenport |
Jesús Sánchez | .245 | .307 | .432 | 99 | .187 | .303 | 4.7 | 6 | 1.6 | cazador peniques |
Avisaíl García | .255 | .314 | .434 | 101 | .179 | .305 | 4.9 | 1 | 1.3 | José Guillén |
Jesús Aguilar | .254 | .326 | .433 | 105 | .179 | .289 | 5.1 | 1 | 1.2 | Pablo Konerko |
levin diaz | .242 | .288 | .432 | 93 | .190 | .277 | 4.5 | 7 | 1.1 | lucas mate |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | .228 | .292 | .412 | 89 | .183 | .306 | 4.3 | -3 | 1.0 | Andy Fuchs |
garret cooper | .261 | .343 | .423 | 108 | .162 | .337 | 5.3 | -2 | 1.0 | keith moreland |
jon bertie | .239 | .331 | .343 | 85 | .104 | .306 | 4.2 | 1 | 0.9 | Esteban Germán |
Bryson Brigman | .233 | .295 | .327 | 70 | .093 | .282 | 3.4 | 5 | 0.9 | eric martins |
bryan de la cruz | .270 | .321 | .410 | 98 | .140 | .334 | 4.7 | -2 | 0.8 | matt murton |
agarrar cono | .215 | .279 | .416 | 86 | .201 | .318 | 4.0 | 3 | 0.6 | Joe Vitello |
Isán Díaz | .222 | .308 | .349 | 79 | .127 | .293 | 3.7 | 0 | 0.5 | Rodney NYe |
nick fortes | .226 | .295 | .358 | 77 | .132 | .262 | 3.7 | -3 | 0.5 | charlie moore |
alex jackson | .181 | .268 | .366 | 71 | .185 | .264 | 3.3 | 1 | 0.4 | jim horner |
JJ Bleday | .222 | .296 | .373 | 81 | .151 | .269 | 3.8 | 3 | 0.3 | ChrisRichard |
monte harrison | .202 | .272 | .344 | 67 | .142 | .314 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.3 | Damon Mashore |
peyton burdick | .203 | .298 | .373 | 82 | .170 | .267 | 3.7 | -5 | 0.2 | kevin belscher |
cazador de polvo | .233 | .279 | .366 | 74 | .133 | .308 | 3.7 | -1 | 0.2 | alexis gomez |
Víctor Víctor Mesa | .232 | .273 | .289 | 54 | .057 | .284 | 2.9 | 9 | 0.2 | Jesús Campos |
Carlos Leblanc | .212 | .272 | .328 | 63 | .117 | .292 | 3.1 | 4 | 0.1 | Bert Peña |
José Devers | .227 | .285 | .311 | 63 | .083 | .284 | 3.2 | -1 | -0.1 | Chris Gómez |
henry payton | .200 | .265 | .312 | 57 | .112 | .294 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.1 | alan prost |
Brian Navarreto | .204 | .249 | .330 | 56 | .126 | .243 | 2.8 | 1 | -0.1 | Scott Servais |
Deven Marrero | .204 | .269 | .316 | 59 | .112 | .271 | 3.0 | 2 | -0.2 | David Matranga |
luis marta | .215 | .248 | .296 | 48 | .081 | .281 | 2.6 | 3 | -0.2 | Juan Alba |
Joe pánico | .239 | .304 | .325 | 72 | .086 | .266 | 3.5 | -4 | -0.3 | johnny burnett |
Luis Avilés Jr. | .203 | .252 | .332 | 58 | .130 | .270 | 3.1 | -2 | -0.4 | kelly dransfeldt |
troy johnston | .234 | .294 | .348 | 74 | .114 | .293 | 3.6 | 1 | -0.4 | miguel pablo |
joe dunand | .194 | .258 | .296 | 51 | .102 | .268 | 2.6 | 5 | -0.4 | sangre cachonda |
eric gonzalez | .232 | .265 | .316 | 58 | .084 | .289 | 2.9 | 0 | -0.5 | jace cervecero |
lorenzo quintana | .238 | .287 | .374 | 79 | .136 | .288 | 3.7 | -3 | -0.5 | proyecto de ley de piedra |
Santiago Chávez | .163 | .220 | .232 | 24 | .069 | .240 | 1.7 | 5 | -0.6 | gary tremblay |
Tevin Mitchell | .156 | .243 | .271 | 40 | .115 | .228 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.6 | Juan Ballara |
lewis brinson | .214 | .268 | .347 | 66 | .133 | .280 | 3.2 | 1 | -0.6 | Juan Guidice |
Galli Cribbs Jr. | .166 | .230 | .237 | 28 | .071 | .273 | 1.8 | 3 | -0.7 | los dennis |
Devin Haarston | .173 | .230 | .248 | 31 | .075 | .262 | 1.8 | 7 | -0.8 | lou benbow |
Demetrio Sims | .181 | .258 | .271 | 45 | .090 | .283 | 2.3 | 0 | -0.8 | rey del tablero |
cris china | .218 | .262 | .323 | 59 | .105 | .281 | 2.8 | 1 | -0.8 | Brian Becker |
Ray patrick didder | .187 | .269 | .281 | 51 | .094 | .263 | 2.6 | -3 | -0.8 | kirk mendenhall |
Tristán Pompeyo | .193 | .269 | .282 | 51 | .088 | .283 | 2.5 | -1 | -0.8 | Cawhorn recto |
brian mueller | .242 | .289 | .315 | sesenta y cinco | .074 | .303 | 3.5 | -7 | -0.8 | chris frey |
cobie vance | .212 | .276 | .287 | 55 | .076 | .265 | 2.9 | -2 | -0.9 | joe kerrigan |
justin guita | .189 | .235 | .276 | 39 | .086 | .286 | 2.3 | 3 | -0.9 | Enohel Polanco |
Will Banfield | .168 | .217 | .261 | 30 | .093 | .235 | 1.9 | 5 | -0.9 | José Molina |
zack kone | .176 | .236 | .251 | 33 | .075 | .269 | 2.0 | 2 | -1.0 | jake bosque |
davis bradshaw | .221 | .265 | .294 | 53 | .073 | .274 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.1 | Gary Tramel |
Lázaro Alonso | .194 | .285 | .304 | 61 | .110 | .293 | 2.9 | -2 | -1.2 | Tate Seefried |
Riley Mahan | .189 | .245 | .291 | 46 | .103 | .285 | 2.3 | 0 | -1.2 | marca farris |
J. D. Orr | .221 | .292 | .291 | 60 | .070 | .285 | 2.9 | -6 | -1.3 | Buck McNabb |
corey vogel | .215 | .279 | .315 | 62 | .101 | .268 | 3.3 | -8vo | -1.4 | Kevin O´Connor |
Jerar Encarnación | .199 | .257 | .323 | 57 | .124 | .291 | 2.7 | -2 | -1.6 | jon zeringue |
JD Osborne | .188 | .244 | .286 | 44 | .098 | .264 | 2.4 | -5 | -1.7 | ray hansen |
Jarras – Por defecto
jugador | T | Envejecer | W | L | ÉPOCA | GRAMO | SG | IP | H | ÉL | SRES | cama y desayuno | ENTONCES | FIP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
arena alcántara | R | 26 | 13 | 9 | 3.43 | 32 | 32 | 194.3 | 167 | 74 | 18 | 58 | 194 | 3.42 |
trevor rogers | L | 24 | 10 | 7 | 3.38 | 28 | 28 | 141.0 | 119 | 53 | quince | 49 | 166 | 3.38 |
pablo lopez | R | 26 | 7 | 6 | 3.66 | 23 | 23 | 113.0 | 104 | 46 | 13 | 28 | 113 | 3.63 |
Sixto Sánchez | R | 23 | 7 | 6 | 3.64 | 18 | 18 | 99.0 | 96 | 40 | 9 | 24 | 81 | 3.60 |
Max Meier | R | 23 | 5 | 6 | 4.35 | 24 | 24 | 109.7 | 108 | 53 | 12 | 49 | 97 | 4.31 |
jesus lazardo | L | 24 | 9 | 10 | 4.50 | 33 | 26 | 130.0 | 129 | sesenta y cinco | 20 | 55 | 134 | 4.53 |
Eduardo Cabrera | R | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4.36 | 21 | 21 | 88.7 | 81 | 43 | 12 | 44 | 97 | 4.44 |
Jake Edder | L | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4.22 | dieciséis | dieciséis | 70.3 | sesenta y cinco | 33 | 9 | 31 | 72 | 4.25 |
buhardilla braxton | L | 24 | 6 | 7 | 4.70 | 26 | 25 | 115.0 | 118 | 60 | dieciséis | 49 | 100 | 4.68 |
dylan floro | R | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3.37 | 62 | 0 | 58.7 | 53 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 53 | 3.33 |
Daniel Castaño | L | 27 | 5 | 6 | 4.68 | 22 | 17 | 100.0 | 108 | 52 | 14 | 32 | 67 | 4.77 |
Antonio Vélez | L | 25 | 4 | 5 | 4.57 | 24 | 14 | 90.7 | 98 | 46 | 13 | 21 | 63 | 4.51 |
Eliezer Hernández | R | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4.62 | 23 | 19 | 89.7 | 86 | 46 | 17 | 27 | 95 | 4.63 |
ricardo bleier | L | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3.44 | 57 | 0 | 49.7 | 49 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 3.44 |
Zach McCambley | R | 23 | 6 | 8 | 4.83 | 21 | 21 | 98.7 | 104 | 53 | 17 | 33 | 84 | 4.87 |
anton doblador | R | 27 | 3 | 3 | 3.90 | 52 | 2 | 60.0 | 52 | 26 | 6 | 26 | 64 | 3.90 |
austin pruitt | R | 32 | 3 | 3 | 4.33 | 27 | 5 | 62.3 | 64 | 30 | 8 | quince | 50 | 4.06 |
jake walters | R | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4.66 | 19 | 9 | 65.7 | 67 | 34 | 8 | 30 | 50 | 4.79 |
Sean Gunther | L | 26 | 3 | 3 | 4.18 | 38 | 3 | 66.7 | 69 | 31 | 8 | 20 | 54 | 4.20 |
jose un smith | R | 34 | 3 | 3 | 4.69 | 18 | 8 | 55.7 | 59 | 29 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 4.53 |
Luis Madero | R | 25 | 5 | 7 | 4,88 | 24 | 11 | 79.3 | 84 | 43 | 11 | 31 | 60 | 4.83 |
Zach Pop | R | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4.07 | 50 | 1 | 55.3 | 52 | 25 | 6 | 23 | 53 | 4.30 |
Ludwig Kopf | R | 32 | 1 | 1 | 4.24 | 45 | 2 | 51.0 | 47 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 4.36 |
Stefan Okert | L | 30 | 3 | 3 | 4.21 | 47 | 1 | 51.3 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 18 | 58 | 4.23 |
Anton Bass | R | 34 | 5 | 5 | 4.25 | 61 | 1 | 55,0 | 50 | 26 | 8 | 21 | 54 | 4.36 |
Jordan Holloway | R | 26 | 5 | 7 | 5.04 | 24 | fünfzehn | 75,0 | 69 | 42 | 9 | 52 | 72 | 5.02 |
Will Stewart | L | 24 | 6 | 8 | 5.20 | 20 | 20 | 98.7 | 109 | 57 | 12 | 45 | 61 | 5.04 |
Josh Roberson | R | 26 | 3 | 3 | 4.71 | 26 | 6 | 49.7 | 49 | 26 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 4.61 |
Nick Neidert | R | 25 | 5 | 7 | 5.21 | 21 | 19 | 93.3 | 102 | 54 | fünfzehn | 40 | 64 | 5.38 |
Jake Fischmann | L | 27 | 2 | 3 | 4.37 | 37 | 1 | 55.7 | 56 | 27 | 7 | 18 | 46 | 4.29 |
Paul Campell | R | 26 | 5 | 7 | 5.11 | 21 | 11 | 74,0 | 80 | 42 | 12 | 27 | 56 | 5.03 |
Matthäus Kent | L | 29 | 5 | 7 | 5.13 | 26 | 12 | 100.0 | 116 | 57 | fünfzehn | 33 | 62 | 5.06 |
Cody Poteet | R | 27 | 5 | 7 | 5.34 | 17 | 17 | 87.7 | 91 | 52 | 16 | 35 | 72 | 5.24 |
Brandon Leibrandt | L | 29 | 5 | 7 | 5.33 | 20 | 16 | 77.7 | 85 | 46 | 12 | 31 | 54 | 5.15 |
Antony Maldonado | R | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4.76 | 21 | 2 | 28.3 | 30 | fünfzehn | 4 | 9 | 21 | 4.59 |
Brian McKenna | R | 29 | 1 | 1 | 4,50 | 11 | 0 | 14.0 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 4.54 |
Cody Caroll | R | 29 | 1 | 1 | 4,50 | 34 | 0 | 36.0 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 4.26 |
Preston Guilmet | R | 34 | 3 | 3 | 4.65 | 33 | 1 | 50.3 | 50 | 26 | 9 | fünfzehn | 52 | 4.45 |
Taylor Williams | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4.54 | 36 | 0 | 41.7 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 4.74 |
Zack Leban | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 4.53 | 37 | 0 | 47.7 | 49 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 4.33 |
Robert García | L | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4.56 | 34 | 0 | 49.3 | 48 | 25 | 5 | 26 | 44 | 4.48 |
Brett Eibner | R | 33 | 1 | 2 | 4,85 | 11 | 0 | 13.0 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5.10 |
Jackson Rose | R | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4,88 | 26 | 2 | 62.7 | 66 | 34 | 10 | 22 | 50 | 4,90 |
Tommy Eveld | R | 28 | 4 | 4 | 4.63 | 40 | 0 | 46.7 | 45 | 24 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 4.62 |
Andreas Nardi | L | 23 | 3 | 4 | 4.62 | 29 | 0 | 48.7 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 22 | 43 | 4.56 |
Jeff Lindgren | R | 25 | 5 | 8 | 5.46 | 20 | 17 | 90.7 | 103 | 55 | 16 | 34 | 58 | 5.45 |
Brandon Barker | R | 29 | 2 | 3 | 5.53 | fünfzehn | 11 | 53.7 | 60 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 5.42 |
Alexander Guillen | R | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4.82 | 34 | 1 | 56.0 | 57 | 30 | 8 | 24 | 47 | 4.81 |
Tyler Stevens | R | 26 | 3 | 3 | 4.76 | 33 | 0 | 45.3 | 45 | 24 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 4.86 |
C.J. Carter | R | 25 | 2 | 3 | 4.86 | 24 | 0 | 33.3 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 4.98 |
Shawn Morimando | L | 29 | 3 | 4 | 5.53 | 20 | fünfzehn | 86.3 | 97 | 53 | 17 | 33 | 69 | 5.43 |
Colton Hock | R | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4.94 | 42 | 1 | 54.7 | 57 | 30 | 7 | 25 | 44 | 4.77 |
Aneurys Zabala | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 4.98 | 36 | 0 | 47.0 | 47 | 26 | 6 | 25 | 41 | 4.82 |
Jefry Yan | L | 25 | 0 | 1 | 5.23 | 22 | 0 | 32.7 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 23 | 32 | 5.11 |
Parker Bugg | R | 27 | 3 | 5 | 5.20 | 35 | 3 | 64.0 | 61 | 37 | 12 | 34 | 69 | 5.20 |
Bryan Mitchell | R | 31 | 2 | 3 | 5.58 | 27 | 7 | 61.3 | 66 | 38 | 10 | 32 | 49 | 5.41 |
Jorge Guzman | R | 26 | 4 | 6 | 5.81 | 19 | 14 | 74.3 | 72 | 48 | 12 | 55 | 70 | 5.82 |
Jordan Guerrero | R | 25 | 2 | 4 | 5.50 | 29 | 3 | 54.0 | 58 | 33 | 10 | 27 | 47 | 5.51 |
Jose Mesa Jr. | R | 28 | 1 | 1 | 6.75 | 14 | 3 | 25.3 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 6.38 |
Dylan Bice | R | 24 | 3 | 5 | 5.37 | 39 | 0 | 52.0 | 55 | 31 | 8 | 27 | 39 | 5.41 |
Andrew McInvale | R | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5.56 | 34 | 0 | 43.7 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 29 | 41 | 5.58 |
Mason Melotakis | L | 31 | 1 | 2 | 6.21 | 22 | 0 | 29.0 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6.15 |
Justin Evans | R | 25 | 2 | 4 | 5.59 | 35 | 0 | 48.3 | 53 | 30 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 5.52 |
Pitchers – Advanced
Spieler | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | ERA- | WAR | No. 1 Comp |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sandy Alcantara | 9.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 7.2% | 24.1% | .284 | 123 | 81 | 4.3 | Ben McDonald |
Trevor Rogers | 10.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 8.3% | 28.2% | .295 | 125 | 80 | 3.2 | Britt Burns |
Pablo López | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 5.9% | 24.0% | .294 | 115 | 87 | 2.2 | Larry Christenson |
Sixto Sánchez | 7.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 5.8% | 19.5% | .294 | 116 | 86 | 2.0 | Tom Bradley |
Max Meyer | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 10.1% | 20.1% | .300 | 97 | 103 | 1.3 | Joe Bitker |
Jesús Luzardo | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 9.6% | 23.5% | .306 | 94 | 106 | 1.2 | Mark Guthrie |
Edward Cabrera | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 11.3% | 24.8% | .297 | 97 | 103 | 1.0 | Doug Bochtler |
Jake Eder | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 23.6% | .295 | 100 | 100 | 0.9 | Erik Bedard |
Braxton Garrett | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 9.6% | 19.6% | .301 | 90 | 111 | 0.9 | Brandon Claussen |
Dylan Floro | 8.1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 8.1% | 21.5% | .292 | 125 | 80 | 0.9 | Chad Bradford |
Daniel Castano | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.3% | 15.3% | .295 | 90 | 111 | 0.8 | Charlie Leibrandt |
Antonio Velez | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5.4% | 16.2% | .296 | 93 | 108 | 0.8 | Butch Henry |
Elieser Hernandez | 9.5 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 7.1% | 24.9% | .291 | 92 | 109 | 0.7 | Matt Wise |
Richard Bleier | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 3.9% | 17.6% | .292 | 123 | 81 | 0.7 | Steve Mingori |
Zach McCambley | 7.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 7.7% | 19.5% | .298 | 87 | 114 | 0.6 | Jason Rakers |
Anthony Bender | 9.6 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 10.0% | 24.7% | .291 | 108 | 92 | 0.6 | Bryce Florie |
Austin Pruitt | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5.7% | 19.0% | .298 | 98 | 102 | 0.5 | Gil Heredia |
Jake Walters | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10.2% | 17.1% | .294 | 91 | 110 | 0.5 | Greg Booker |
Sean Guenther | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6.9% | 18.8% | .302 | 101 | 99 | 0.5 | Dana Allison |
Josh A. Smith | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.4% | 18.9% | .304 | 90 | 111 | 0.3 | Joey Hamilton |
Luís Madero | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 8.8% | 17.0% | .298 | 87 | 115 | 0.3 | Steve Parris |
Zach Pop | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 9.4% | 21.7% | .297 | 104 | 96 | 0.3 | Cary Hiles |
Louis Head | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 8.7% | 22.8% | .288 | 100 | 100 | 0.2 | Gene Nelson |
Steven Okert | 10.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 8.2% | 26.5% | .290 | 100 | 100 | 0.2 | Eddie Guardado |
Anthony Bass | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 9.0% | 23.1% | .282 | 99 | 101 | 0.2 | Roger Mason |
Jordan Holloway | 8.6 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 15.1% | 20.9% | .288 | 84 | 119 | 0.2 | Whitey Moore |
Will Stewart | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10.1% | 13.6% | .299 | 81 | 123 | 0.2 | Wes Whisler |
Josh Roberson | 7.6 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 12.1% | 18.8% | .299 | 90 | 111 | 0.2 | Rick Steed |
Nick Neidert | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 9.5% | 15.2% | .294 | 81 | 123 | 0.2 | Steve Cummings |
Jake Fishman | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 7.5% | 19.2% | .295 | 97 | 103 | 0.2 | Erasmo Ramirez |
Paul Campbell | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 8.3% | 17.1% | .298 | 83 | 121 | 0.1 | Darren Balsley |
Matthew Kent | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 7.4% | 13.9% | .305 | 82 | 121 | 0.1 | Lee Guetterman |
Cody Poteet | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 9.0% | 18.6% | .288 | 79 | 126 | 0.1 | Jonathan Hurst |
Brandon Leibrandt | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 8.9% | 15.6% | .297 | 79 | 126 | 0.0 | Brian Mazone |
Anthony Maldonado | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.3% | 17.1% | .295 | 89 | 113 | 0.0 | Brian Allen |
Brian McKenna | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 9.8% | 23.0% | .289 | 94 | 106 | 0.0 | Lee Tunnell |
Cody Carroll | 8.8 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 11.3% | 21.9% | .304 | 94 | 106 | 0.0 | Eric Ludwick |
Preston Guilmet | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 7.0% | 24.2% | .299 | 91 | 110 | 0.0 | Kerry Ligtenberg |
Taylor Williams | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10.8% | 22.0% | .302 | 93 | 107 | 0.0 | Steve Andrade |
Zack Leban | 7.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 9.5% | 18.1% | .303 | 93 | 107 | 0.0 | Rosman Garcia |
Robert Garcia | 8.0 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 11.8% | 19.9% | .301 | 93 | 108 | 0.0 | Dan Ricabal |
Brett Eibner | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 10.3% | 19.0% | .289 | 87 | 115 | -0.1 | Tom Hume |
Jackson Rose | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 8.0% | 18.2% | .296 | 87 | 115 | -0.1 | Phil Haigler |
Tommy Eveld | 9.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 8.5% | 23.4% | .291 | 91 | 109 | -0.1 | Paul Mancuso |
Andrew Nardi | 8.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10.2% | 20.0% | .298 | 91 | 109 | -0.1 | Bob MacDonald |
Jeff Lindgren | 5.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 8.4% | 14.3% | .296 | 77 | 129 | -0.1 | Shawn Purdy |
Brandon Barker | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 7.9% | 15.9% | .296 | 76 | 131 | -0.1 | Jim Wilson |
Alexander Guillen | 7.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 9.7% | 19.0% | .295 | 88 | 114 | -0.1 | Kirk Bullinger |
Tyler Stevens | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 10.0% | 20.9% | .295 | 89 | 113 | -0.1 | Matt Ryan |
C.J. Carter | 7.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 10.8% | 18.9% | .286 | 87 | 115 | -0.1 | Joel Moore |
Shawn Morimando | 7.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 8.5% | 17.8% | .303 | 77 | 131 | -0.2 | Brian Abraham |
Colton Hock | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 18.0% | .301 | 86 | 117 | -0.2 | Jeff McCurry |
Aneurys Zabala | 7.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 11.8% | 19.3% | .297 | 85 | 118 | -0.3 | Rick Greene |
Jefry Yan | 8.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 15.1% | 21.1% | .297 | 81 | 124 | -0.3 | Jeff Ridgway |
Parker Bugg | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 11.9% | 24.1% | .292 | 81 | 123 | -0.3 | Marc Deschenes |
Bryan Mitchell | 7.2 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 11.4% | 17.5% | .301 | 76 | 132 | -0.3 | Ken Ray |
Jorge Guzman | 8.5 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 15.7% | 20.0% | .288 | 73 | 137 | -0.4 | Bart Evans |
Jordan Guerrero | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 11.0% | 19.1% | .302 | 77 | 130 | -0.4 | Kevin Spicer |
Jose Mesa Jr. | 6.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 14.2% | 15.8% | .295 | 63 | 160 | -0.5 | Mumba Rivera |
Dylan Bice | 6.8 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 11.4% | 16.5% | .294 | 79 | 127 | -0.5 | Greg Bauer |
Andrew McInvale | 8.5 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 14.3% | 20.2% | .293 | 76 | 132 | -0.6 | Dennis Kinney |
Mason Melotakis | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 10.4% | 14.8% | .301 | 68 | 147 | -0.6 | Bryan Clark |
Justin Evans | 6.7 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 10.9% | 16.3% | .300 | 76 | 132 | -0.6 | Greg Perschke |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned, players who will miss 2022 due to injury, and players who were released in 2021. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a big band orchestra that only plays nu-metal versions of baroque cantatas, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.36, similar to the post-June substance-enforcement environment.
Both hitters and pitchers are ranked by projected zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR. ZiPS is assuming that the designated hitter will continue in force in 2022.
ZiPS is agnostic about future playing time by design. For more information about ZiPS, please refer to this article, or get angry at Dan on Twitter.
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